2020 Apulian regional election

Apulian Regional Election
2020 Apulian regional election

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All 51 seats to the Regional Council of Apulia
Turnout56.4% (Increase5.3%)
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Michele Emiliano Raffaele Fitto
Party Independent Brothers of Italy
Alliance Centre-left Centre-right
Seats won 28 18
Seat change Decrease2 Increase5
Popular vote 871,028 724,928
Percentage 46.8% 38.9%
Swing Decrease0.3% Increase6.2%


President before election

Michele Emiliano
Democratic Party

President

Michele Emiliano
Independent

Politics of Apulia
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The 2020 Apulian regional election took place in Apulia, Italy, on 20 and 21 September. It was originally scheduled to take place on May 31, 2020, but it was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy.[1][2]

Electoral system

The electoral law is established by the Regional Law n. 7/2015. The regional council is made up of 50 councilors, plus the president; The first 23 seats are divided at the district level and the remaining 27 at the level of the single regional constituency. The law provides for a single round, with list voting, the possibility of expressing two preferences of different gender within the chosen list, and voting for the candidate for president, on a single ballot. It is possible to vote for a slate and a candidate for the chair that are not connected to each other ("split vote").

The candidate who obtains the majority (even only relative) of the votes is elected President of the Region. The lists linked to the elected president are eventually assigned a majority bonus in the following measure: at least 29 seats if the elected president has obtained a percentage of preferences higher than 40%; at least 28 seats if the elected president has obtained a percentage of preferences between 35% and 40%, while if it falls below 35%, at least 27 councilors would be assigned. The law provides for a threshold of 8% for coalitions and lists that run on their own and 4% for lists that present themselves in a coalition.

Background

On January 12, 2020, the Democratic Party (PD) held its primaries in which Governor Michele Emiliano was the winner.[3]

Centre-left coalition Apulian governor primaries
Candidate Votes %
Michele Emiliano 56,773 70.42
Fabiano Amati 11,559 14.34
Elena Gentile 9,753 12.10
Leonardo Palmisano 2,532 3.14
Total 80,617 100.0

Following the primaries' victory of Emiliano, considered by Italia Viva (IV) too close to the political positions of the Five Star Movement (M5S), Matteo Renzi announced that his party would run separately from the center-left coalition.[4] Other centrist parties like More Europe and Action welcomed Renzi's call.[5] Action had supported the candidacy of Fabiano Amati in the PD's primaries.[6]

After the pre-electoral agreements between the three parties of the center-right coalition, Brothers of Italy announced that the candidate in the region would be Raffaele Fitto, MEP and former governor of Apulia.[7] However, the decision was opposed by the Salento section of the League, which instead proposed Nuccio Altieri. The final choice would be determined by the outcome of the regional elections in Emilia-Romagna and Calabria which could upset the balance between the center-right forces and therefore lead to a modification of pre-election agreements.[8]

The M5S held the primaries on its electoral platform Rousseau. The candidates were Cristian Casili, Mario Conca, Antonella Laricchia, and Antonio Trevisi.[9]

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) 19.8 13 Michele Emiliano
Emiliano Mayor of Apulia 9.7 6
Populars with Emiliano (incl. CD, Popular Apulia and UDC dissidents) 6.2 3
Pensioners and Disabled 0.4
Civic Sense (incl. Art.1 and PRI)
With Emiliano
Solidary and Green Apulia (incl. SI, EV, PSI, èViva)
Italia in Comune (IiC)
Italian Animalist Party (PAI)
Party of the South (PdS)
Independent South
Christian Democracy (DC)
Alternative Left (SA)
Open Society Association – The Liberals
Thought and Action Party (PPA)
Centre-right coalition Forza Italia (FI) 11.4 5 Raffaele Fitto
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 2.5
League (Lega) 2.4
Union of the Centre – New PSI (incl. LAM)
Apulia Tomorrow – Fitto for President
M5S coalition Five Star Movement (M5S) 17.2 7 Antonella Laricchia
Future Apulia (PF)
Italia Viva coalition[10] Italia Viva (IV) Ivan Scalfarotto
Scalfarotto for President – More Europe (incl. A)
Green Future (incl. Volt, PLI and ALI)
Work Environment Constitution (PRC – PCI – RS) 1.6[a] Nicola Cesaria
Apulian Citizens Mario Conca
Tricolour Flame (FT) Pierfranco Bruni
Reconquer Italy (RI) Andrea D'Agosto
  1. ^ 0.9 % of the vote to The Other Apulia (PRC) + 0.7 % of the vote to PCI.

Opinion polls

Candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client
Sample size Emiliano Fitto Laricchia Scalfarotto Others Undecided Lead
21 Sep 2020 Opinio (exit poll) 39.0–43.0 39.0–43.0 11.0–15.0 1.0–3.0 Tie
4 Sep 2020 Lab2101 30.2 30.9 30.8 8.2 0.1
29 Aug–1 Sep 2020 BiDiMedia 1,325 40.2 38.9 14.3 3.9 2.7 13.3 1.3
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 Scenari Politici–Winpoll 1,000 38.2 39.6 15.9 4.7 1.6 1.4
28–31 Aug 2020 Ipsos 900 39.4 41.0 15.6 1.6 2.4 1.6
28–31 Aug 2020 Quorum–YouTrend 800 39.4 40.2 15.3 3.9 1.2 0.8
28 Aug 2020 Tecnè 2,000 36–40 39–43 14–18 2–6 1–3 -1–7
27–29 Aug 2020 EMG 1,200 38.5 43.5 12.5 3.0 2.5 5.0
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Noto 36–40 39–43 12–16 5–9 -1–7
10 Aug 2020 EMG Archived 2020-09-27 at the Wayback Machine 37.5 43.5 12.0 5.0 2.0 6.0
8 Aug 2020 Gpf[a] 1,501 42.3 37.9 16.1 2.1 0.3 4.4
5–6 Aug 2020 Tecnè[a] 1,000 37.0 42.0 15.0 4.5 1.5 14.9 5.0
3–6 Aug 2020 BiDiMedia[a] 1,353 38.8 38.1 16.7 4.2 2.2 15.5 0.7
9–14 July 2020 Lab21 Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine 34.5 30.2 31.1 3.1 1.1 3.4
5–7 July 2020 Troisi Research 1000 41.1 37.6 16.7 4.2 0.4 3.5
3 July 2020 Euromedia Research 39.8 37.8 17.1 3.6 1.7 2.0
26 Jun 2020 Noto 38.0 45.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 7.0
21 Jun 2020 Lab21[a] 32.0–36.0 32.0–36.0 22.0–26.0 4.0–6.0 2.0–4.0 Tie
4 Jun 2020 Noto[a] 37.5 45.0 7.5
4 Jun 2020 EMG[a] 36.5 43.5 7.0
19 Feb 2020 Noto 32.0 46.0 14.0
4–10 Feb 2020 MG Research 600 35.0–39.0 27.5–31.5 27.5–31.5 1.0–3.0[b] 1.0–3.0 4.5–11.5

Parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left M5S Centre-right Centre Others Undecided Lead
PD PSV Other FI Lega FdI Other
4 Sep 2020 Bidimedia 1325 15.3 3.8 19.8 14.2 8.5 11.1 13.7 6.2 3.9 2.9 13.9 1.1
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 Scenari Politici–Winpoll 1,000 16.7 18.6 17.7 7.1 15.1 14.7 4.0 4.3 1.8 1.0
28–31 Aug 2020 Ipsos 900 18.0 20.4 17.0 7.5 17.5 12.9 4.5 2.2 0.5
27–29 Aug 2020 EMG 1,200 18.0 2.0 16.0 14.5 8.0 14.0 13.0 9.0 3.0 2.5 24.3 3.5
10 Aug 2020 EMG Archived 2020-09-27 at the Wayback Machine 1,800 21.5 13.0 13.5 10.0 15.0 14.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 6.5
3–6 August 2020 BiDiMedia[a] 1,353 15.0 4.0 18.7 16.4 8.4 10.5 14.1 6.1 4.1 2.7 18.5 1.4
9–14 July 2020 Lab21 Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine 21.3 3.2 10.2 22.7 7.6 17.4 9.3 2.3 4.1 0.6 1.4
3 July 2020 Euromedia Research 20.1 2.1 16.4 19.2 8.3 18.1 8.5 2.9 3.7 0.7 39.9 2.6
29–May–1 Jun 2020 SWG[a] 39.0 43.0 4.0
26-28 Feb 2020 Winpoll[a] 23.0 2.6 6.6 9.6 7.9 20.4 20.2 0.2 8.3 1.2 20 2.6
19 Feb 2020 Noto 20.0 15.0 20.0 12.0 6.0–6.5 Tie
4–10 Feb 2020 MG Research 600 19.0–23.0 6.0–10.0 2.0–6.0 25.0–29.0 5.0–9.0 16.0–20.0 6.0–10.0 2.0–6.0 1.0–5.0 2.0–10.0
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  2. ^ Ivan Scalfarotto wasn't the official candidate at the time the opinion poll was made

Results

20–21 September 2020 Apulian regional election results
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats
Michele Emiliano 871,028 46.78 1 Democratic Party 289,188 17.25 16
With Emiliano 110,559 6.59 6
Populars with Emiliano 99,621 5.94 5
Civic Sense – A New Olive Tree for Apulia 69,780 4.16
Italia in Comune 64,886 3.87
Solidary and Green Apulia 63,725 3.80
Emiliano Mayor of Apulia 43,404 2.59
Animalist Party 5,573 0.33
Alternative Left 4,192 0.25
Pensioners and Disabled 3,119 0.19
Party of the South 1,410 0.08
Thought and Action Party 1,243 0.07
Independent South 1,179 0.07
Christian Democracy 1,047 0.06
Open Society Association – The Liberals 806 0.05
Total 759,732 45.32 27
Raffaele Fitto 724,928 38.93 1 Brothers of Italy 211,693 12.63 6
League 160,507 9.57 4
Forza Italia 149,399 8.91 4
Apulia Tomorrow 141,201 8.42 3
Union of the Centre – New PSI 31,736 1.89
Total 694,536 41.43 17
Antonella Laricchia 207,038 11.12 Five Star Movement 165,243 9.86 5
Future Apulia 9,897 0.59
Total 175,140 10.45 5
Ivan Scalfarotto 29,808 1.60 Italia Viva 18,025 1.08
Scalfarotto for President 5,062 0.30
Green Future 1,888 0.11
Total 24,975 1.49
Mario Conca 16,531 0.89 Apulian Citizens 12,162 0.73
Nicola Cesaria 7,222 0.39 Work Environment Constitution 5,880 0.35
Pierfranco Bruni 3,115 0.17 Tricolour Flame 2,362 0.14
Andrea D'Agosto 2,353 0.13 Reconquer Italy 1,712 0.10
Blank and invalid votes 149,658 7.44
Total candidates 1,862,023 100.00 2 Total parties 1,676,499 100.00 49
Registered voters/turnout 3,565,013 56.43
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Results Archived 2020-09-23 at the Wayback Machine


Popular vote
PD
17.25%
FdI
12.63%
M5S
9.86%
Lega
9.57%
FI
8.91%
LPD
8.42%
CE
6.59%
Pop.
5.94%
SC
4.16%
IiC
3.87%
PSV
3.80%
ESP
2.59%
UDC–NPSI
1.89%
IV
1.08%
Others
3.44%
President
Emiliano
46.78%
Fitto
38.93%
Laricchia
11.12%
Scalfarotto
1.60%
Others
1.57%
Seats summary
Centre-left
54.90%
Centre-right
35.29%
M5S
6.81%

Turnout

Region Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Apulia 12.04% 27.60% 39.89% 56.43%
Province Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Bari 12.95% 29.20% 40.92% 56.88%
Barletta-Andria-Trani 12.76% 29.72% 42.61% 59.95%
Brindisi 11.53% 26.71% 38.70% 54.79%
Foggia 10.66% 25.07% 36.54% 52.76%
Lecce 12.18% 27.84% 41.05% 58.12%
Taranto 11.23% 25.67% 38.53% 55.75%
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout Archived 2020-10-06 at the Wayback Machine

See also

References

  1. ^ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
  2. ^ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
  3. ^ "Primarie Puglia, Emiliano è il candidato governatore con oltre 70%. In 80mila al voto. Gli sfidanti: "Uniti batteremo la destra"". www.lagazzettadelmezzogiorno.it. Retrieved 2020-01-13.
  4. ^ "Regionali Puglia, Matteo Renzi va da solo: "Emiliano non sarà il candidato di Italia Viva. Sceglieremo Teresa Bellanova? Non credo"". Il Fatto Quotidiano (in Italian). 2020-01-14. Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  5. ^ "Polo 'anti' Emiliano in Puglia, ok Calenda e +Europa a Renzi". Adnkronos. Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  6. ^ "Calenda spiazza il centrosinistra: "Alle regionali voterei Fitto"". www.quotidianodipuglia.it (in Italian). 14 January 2020. Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  7. ^ "Regionali Puglia, il centrodestra candida Fitto: l'annuncio di Fratelli d'Italia. Emiliano: "Sarà un derby Bari-Lecce"". la Repubblica (in Italian). 2019-12-20. Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  8. ^ "Regionali, la Lega frena su Fitto e aspetta il voto in Emilia". www.lagazzettadelmezzogiorno.it. Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  9. ^ Redazione (2020-01-12). "Regionarie, nel M5S è sfida a quattro: si attende l'ufficialità. Il voto in settimana". Telerama News (in Italian). Retrieved 2020-01-15.
  10. ^ Curridori, Francesco (2020-06-21). "Puglia, la candidatura di Scalfarotto spacca la sinistra". ilGiornale.it (in Italian). Retrieved 2020-07-09.